The choices we make, and the results we get

A point I make to teams I work with is that what we do affects real people. It doesn’t matter whether that person is buying a Christmas present1, reporting workplace negligence2, or making sure they and their kids don’t go hungry3, making that experience easier or harder has an impact.

The reason for this reminder is that we4 often abstract ‘People who use our products’ in to the much easier and less clunky term ‘users’. And yes, while this is done for reasons of convenience rather than anything nefarious, it can still lead to us forgetting that there is a real person at the sharp end of the decisions we make.

In turn, this impact is regularly referred to in other terms, such as ‘pain point’ or ‘nudge’5. Again, while done with no negative intent, this can further separate ‘us’ and ‘them’. After a while, ‘them’ almost become ‘things’ we act as if we have dominion over.

At this stage, it becomes very easy to believe your assumptions are actually facts. Assumptions in and of themselves are not objectively good, or bad, but they do need validating. It’s a very helpful shortcut to jump over validation, especially if you already – sincerely – believe you know the result.6 It’s exactly here where our biases can wreak havoc, and do serious damage.

You may know that I’ve been involved with Gateshead Foodbank since 2018 in various roles, and/or that for the last 18 months or so I’ve been spending a lot more time there as part of a career break.7 A year ago, I was invited on to the Board of Trustees, with a focus on Data/IT, and to support efforts in reshaping the charity so that we can continue to support those who need us, for as long as we are needed.

Since being founded in 2012, we’ve fed over 100k people. While the vast majority are in receipt of Universal Credit, that doesn’t mean they are out of work. A good chunk of the people we feed live in households where one or more adults are working, but their wages still need to be topped up by UC.8

We provide a week’s worth of food, per person, plus toiletries, and our typical visit rate is ~1.5 times. That means that over 80% of people we feed only need to visit us once or twice. We work closely with Citizen’s Advice to identify and solve underlying financial issues people may be facing; the most common cause being that they are not receiving benefits which they are entitled to. I have enough fingers to count those who have needed us more than ten times.

About one third of the people we feed are children.

Of the families we feed, 60% of them have three or more children, and whatever assumptive rhetoric people may wish to throw at adults, these kids have no choice, no power, and no agency.

They are going hungry because of the decisions made by others.

Trussell9 have done extensive research to uncover the main causes of people using foodbanks, and say the following:

The design and delivery of the social security system remained the most significant driver of low income for people referred to food banks. The vast majority (87%) were in receipt of a means-tested social security payment, including three quarters of people (75%) in receipt of Universal Credit. In the general population fewer than one in 10 people (9%) were in receipt of Universal Credit.
—Trussell – Hunger in the UK, September 2025, p.76

In my professional life, this sort of research result would be clear-cut – this process causes problems, and we need to fix them. No amount of “the user’s an idiot and is doing it wrong!” can hand wave away 87%. When I talk about systemic issues, this is the sort of thing I mean.

The correlation between the two-child limit, and the demographic of people relying on us, is strong and clear. I hope that it goes without saying that a family of five requires more food, more soap, and more loo roll, than a family of three. It should be a profound embarrassment to the country that this continued for eight long years after George Osborne made the decision to enact the limit on the users of benefits.

In the budget last week, it was announced that the two-child limit will be removed in April 2026. During the announcement, I was at the foodbank giving food to people who needed it. When we found out, the relief in the air was palpable. A few people cried.

It is projected that 450,000 kids will be lifted out of poverty through this choice, and will stop going hungry through no fault of their own.

There are always choices which can be made. Some good, some bad. Some outcomes can be foreseen, others cannot. Sometimes there are compounding factors and emergent behaviours, or there aren’t, and it’s pretty straight forward. Maybe the impact is so tiny no one notices, or so large that it feels trite to describe.

If the result of your choice is not what you intended, you can choose to change it.

Fingers crossed, we see double-digit reductions in people visiting the foodbank, and the kids of Gateshead stop going hungry due to the decisions of others. It also reminds me that…

[E]conomic injustice will stop the moment we want it to stop, and no sooner
–George Orwell – The Road to Wigan Pier, 1937, p.139

While not the purpose of this post, if it has given you pause for thought, please set up a regular cash donation to your local foodbank. Cash is best because we can use it to pay for fuel, leccy, and buying in items we don’t get enough of.10 While need hopefully reduces with the removal of the two-child limit, we’re a long away from that celebratory day that we’re no longer needed and can close.

  1. Fruugo (2022-2024) ↩︎
  2. Safecall (2018-2021) ↩︎
  3. Gateshead Foodbank (2018-Present) ↩︎
  4. read: software people ↩︎
  5. The latter I particularly enjoy, as it just reminds me of that Monty Python sketch; know what I mean? ↩︎
  6. Or, if you really don’t want to be proven wrong ↩︎
  7. The TL;DR being that I wanted to do something more visibly and immediately rewarding – and stopping people from going hungry is very immediate indeed. ↩︎
  8. That is to say, their employer does not give them enough hours and/or pay to feed themselves ↩︎
  9. fka ‘The Trussell Trust’ ↩︎
  10. There is always enough pasta – and beans. There are never enough sanitary products, or pet food, or cereals. ↩︎

Kiva – Year 2 Report

Another year older, another year wiser – or so the saying goes – and while 2014 has been eventual I’m glad that I’ve continued playing with Kiva. I did stop adding new credit about half way through the year, but I have continued to fully re-lend all existing credit, which with repayments of ~$100 means I can fund 4 new loans a month; which is enough to make myself feel good / do something positive (delete as appropriate). When I wrote the Year 1 Report I can remember being surprised at the total value of deposits I’d managed in 2013, so I’m not surprised that re-lending, over continuing to add more credit, became more desirable this last year.

So, what do the figures look like now?

  • Total Loans = 132
    • 2013 = 58
  • Total Deposits = $1,209
    • 2013 = $829
  • Total Lent = $3,450
    • 2013 = $1,600
  • Total Repaid = $2,148.72
    • 2013 = $751.82
  • Number of Fully Repaid Loans = 52
    • 2013 = 10
  • Total Value of Fully Repaid Loans = $1,600
    • 2013 = $375
  • Total Outstanding = $1,148.36
    • 2013 = $797.18
  • Total Amount Lost = $27.92
    • 2013 = $1.00
  • Amount Lost due to Default = $16.23
    • 2013 = $0
  • Amount Lost due to Exchange Rate Changes = $11.69
    • 2013 = $1
  • Countries = 49 / 85
    • 2013 = 45 / 73
  • Total Refunded and Expired = $125.00
    • 2013 = $50
  • Number of Loans Delinquent = 6
    • 2013 = 5
  • Amount In Arrears = $30.09
    • 2013 = $8.96
  • Delinquency Rate = 2.62% (arrears / total outstanding)
    • 2013 = 1.12%

There are a few interesting points, especially around losses, that I’ll take a few seconds to briefly explain.

Firstly, losses caused by the exchange rate fluctuating are something to be expected as part of lending on Kiva – I mention this briefly in the Year 1 Report – and these loans were located in Liberia, Ghana (x2), Columbia, and Mongolia with durations of between 8-20 months, each loss averaging to ~$2.40, or a cheap cup of coffee. I admit that as a percentage of $25 it’s more than you’d like to see, but contrast those 5 losses totalling less than $12 to the $2,148.72 in total repayments and that percentage is no longer a concern, a minuscule 0.5% of the total value of repaid loans since I started this two years ago.

The other loan, the default, is a bit more concerning – but not for the reasons you’d think.

You see, I mentioned a few loans I’d made in the Year 1 Report to give an impression of the different types of loans you are able to make on Kiva, and this defaulted loan just so happens to be one of the those that I listed. It was the one to the watermelon farmer, that lives in Ukraine. Now, Kiva don’t tell you what part of a country someone is located, but occasionally loan descriptions do contain this information, Pavel’s didn’t, but, Agro Capital Management LLC – the Field Partner the loan was made with – do state that the majority of their loans are based in Crimea.

I hope that Putin enjoys my watermelons.

Kiva – Year 1 Report

Pin-pointing the first time I was told that “the purpose of life is to pull people up rather than to hold them under” is a difficult one, but if I was pushed to pass on one piece of advice to another, that would be it. While this is, more or less, a restatement that we are standing on the shoulders of giants, with the implication that if you are one of the first to reach the new height then you (to risk of further straining the metaphor) help others to climb and to see in to the distance with you, it doesn’t necessarily make it redundant.

I appreciate that this is a fairly pretentious way to frame the sentiment that we should be good to each other, and never purposefully inhibit those that have done us no harm. However – and even the most ardent adherers to doctrine must agree – that “the game” at present is framed towards taking from others to further yourself, with the aim to amass greater and greater quantities of wealth, rather than collectively pushing forward with the interests of all.

Oh how simple it all sounds…

For me, charity has always seemed to be a partial solution to this problem (in fact it’s probably one of the better ways we’ll ever have), and exactly a year ago today, after a few months consideration, I decided to do something positive and created an account on Kiva.

Kiva is a micro-credit service facilitated by users lending money to entrepreneurs and students in 73 countries via a network of field partners. People sign up to Kiva, add funds via a Paypal account, and then use these funds to facilitate loans in multiples of $25 (up to a maximum of $500) to any available loan listed here. Once a loan is made, and fully funded, the money will be started being paid back – exactly like a typical loan – but while the field-partners charge interest on the loans that are made, neither Kiva or its users receive any additional payments (a point must be made here, if I were to put the money in to a flexible savings account, I would be earning a rate of interest probably not much better than 0%).

This means that for every $25 I deposit in to my Kiva account, the maximum I will ever receive back (bar extremely unlikely positive shifts in the exchange rate) is that ‘same’ $25, and much like any typical loan the lenders can miss payments or under pay (delinquency), or even over pay, or simply never pay the money back (default).

In the past 12 months these are my headline stats:

  • Total Loans = 58
  • Total Deposits = $829 (as to why this isn’t a multiple of $25 I’m not sure)
  • Total Lent = $1600
  • Total Repaid = $751.82
  • Number of Fully Repaid Loans = 10
  • Total Value of Fully Repaid Loans = $375
  • Total Outstanding = $797.18
  • Total Amount Lost = $1.00
  • Amount Lost due to Default = $0
  • Amount Lost due to Exchange Rate Changes = $1
  • Countries = 45 / 73
  • Total Refunded and Expired = $50 (this occurs when a loan is not fully funded within the time limit)
  • Number of Loans Delinquent = 5
  • Amount In Arrears = $8.96
  • Delinquency Rate = 1.12% (arrears / total outstanding)

So far this means that I’ve made loans to numerous people, with virtually all having a perfect repayment record. This spans from watermelon farmers in Ukraine, to a taxi driver in AzerbaijanChild Care in Iraq and a fruit and veg stall in Timor-Leste. It needs to be mentioned that delinquency rates are actually quite volatile, and typically the lenders will correct these within 1 month, indeed only 1 of the 5 currently delinquent loans has been delinquent before, and this gives me a high confidence that these loans will correct themselves over the next 12 months and/or the end of the specific loan period. To give context, in January ’14 I am expecting repayment on 40 loans ($100.23), with 43 in February ($99.83) and another 43 in March ($97.29) with the vast majority paying back on time (if not slightly sooner). This ~$300 can be immediately relent and used to fund up to 12 new loans, and this experience over the last 12 months has given me the feeling that – while I am admittedly not making any money – I’m not losing any, and as I can withdraw the funds whenever I wish, or choose to re-lend them, I haven’t felt that I’m being “cheated” at all.

But when it comes to choosing loans, and as it is ultimately my money, I have two rules I stick by:

  1. A 50/50 overall gender-split on loans.
  2. All Field Partners must be secular in nature.

As it happens, neither of these two rules are hard to accomplish using the extensive options available as part of the built-in search functionality, and also those materials provided by the “Atheists, Agnostics, Skeptics, Freethinkers, Secular Humanists and the Non-Religious” Lending Team who’s goal is to promote secular values (by helping loans from secular Field Partners, especially in theocratic countries) and show that “we care about the suffering of human beings”. This team alone has so far made over $13.5 million of loans since August 2008, making them the single largest loaning team on Kiva – an impressive achievement in anyone’s books.

If you’ve made it this far, and are possibly interested in “having a play” with Kiva, and seeing just what you can do, it’s simply and all you need to do is click here…

http://www.kiva.org/invitedby/weal

and Sign Up – even better, if you do, both you and me will get $25 of free loan credit to go towards funding a loan.

Go on – do something different in 2014.